BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Northern Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 83 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength = 131.64
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Away L 131.94 34 40 1A 74 ( 8- 6) Wyoming 0.29 -6.29
2 09/10/2016 Away L 117.51 17 48 1A 34 ( 11- 2) South Florida -14.13 -16.87
3 09/17/2016 Home L 129.38 28 42 1A 45 ( 11- 3) San Diego St -2.26 -11.74
4 09/24/2016 Home L 115.38 23 28 1B 22 ( 6- 5) Western Illinois -16.27 11.27
5 10/01/2016 Away W * 133.22 31 24 1A 107 ( 4- 8) Ball St 1.58 5.42
6 10/08/2016 Away L * 137.90 30 45 1A 20 ( 13- 0) Western Michigan 6.26 -21.26
7 10/15/2016 Home L * 119.62 28 34 1A 101 ( 6- 7) Central Michigan -12.03 6.03
8 10/22/2016 Home W * 147.90 44 7 1A 127 ( 2- 10) Buffalo 16.26 20.74
9 11/01/2016 Home W * 141.97 45 20 1A 117 ( 4- 8) Bowling Green 10.33 14.67
10 11/09/2016 Neutral L * 135.32 24 31 1A 51 ( 9- 4) Toledo 3.67 -10.67
11 11/16/2016 Away W * 135.07 31 24 1A 99 ( 7- 6) Eastern Michigan 3.42 3.58
12 11/25/2016 Away W * 134.52 31 21 1A 115 ( 3- 9) Kent St 2.88 7.12
Averages 131.64 30.5 30.3
Best game: 147.90 = 37 point win over Buffalo
Worst game: 115.38 = 5 point loss to Western Illinois
Team stdev: 9.82